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News Updates & Article sharing

Crash the Market Crash Talk! Here's Why!

3/20/2016

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Follow up from our previous sharing. Here's another view from another leading expert in the field. 

They think the Real Estate could having a turnaround. 
​Who's they? And Why?
PictureSlowdown may have reached the bottom, says research house

Slowdown may have reached the bottom, says research house

PETALING JAYA: The slowdown in the local property sector could be reaching an inflection point based on promising economic data, according to Affin Hwang Capital.
The research house, in a report yesterday, said the local property sector could see a turnaround following three consecutive quarters of subdued transactions.

“After three quarters of contraction in the number of properties transacted, we believe this could almost be the bottom, as historically, over the past 10 years, the industry has only suffered at most, four quarters of negative growth (namely from the fourth quarter of 2012 until the third quarter of 2013).
“In the fourth quarter of 2015, the residential housing starts fell substantially to around 34,000 units, which may suggest that property developers are delaying launches and this may cap new incoming supply, and hence minimising the risk of a prolonged oversupply.”

​
Affin Hwang Capital also said it sees signs of an improving macro environment.
Malaysia’s real gross domestic product growth is estimated to soften from 4.6% year-on-year in the second half of 2015 to around 4.3% in the first half of 2016, before recovering to 4.7% in the second half, bringing full year growth of 4.6% in 2016.

“This is at the high end of the official Government forecast of 4% to 4.5%,” said the research house.
However, on a more positive note, Affin Hwang added private consumption had rebounded to 4.9% in the fourth quarter of 2015 from a trough of 4.1% in the third quarter of 2015.”
In addition, the research house also said payrolls continued to expand, with the average wages of 4.6% year-on-year in the fourth quarter of 2015 and 4% for 2015.

“High employment coupled with wage growth should be supportive of consumption activity, once consumer sentiment improves. As of the fourth quarter of 2015, unemployment rate remained healthy at 3.2%, while total employment has reach an all-time high of 13.9 million people.
“Labour force participation rate continues to hover not far below its record high at 68%,” which the research house believed would sustain the improvement of private consumption.”

​Overall, Affin Hwang Capital said it is maintaining its “overweight” call on the local property sector.
“We believe the bottom is approaching and that further downside risk to share prices is limited.
“Property sales will be supported by healthy existing unbilled sales, as well as new launches,” it added.
The research house said key downside risk to its recommendation included a sharper-than-expected slowdown in the domestic property market, prolonged downturn in the property market and a sharp deterioration in property prices.

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  • Home
  • New Property Launch
    • Best Investment 2022 PJ Damansara Low Risk Low Entry Price High ROI
    • 2022 PJ Rumah Mampu Milik RM270k Damansara
    • Bangsar South 2 Rooms from RM390k BELOW Market Price
    • 10% ROI PJ Project near Ikea and One Utama Mall
    • Mid Valley Seputeh New Launch
    • Pavilion Damansara Heights 柏威年 白沙罗岭 马来西亚 吉隆坡 精选楼盘
    • 马来西亚RM300千的PJ屋子-首购族,年轻人月入3千能买房
    • 2021 Penang Most Awaited Project
    • 2021 New Launch - KL Metropolis
    • 2021 PJ Spacious and Affordable 5 Star Condo
    • Freehold LRT Linked 3 Room Suites in Glenmarie
    • New SPACIOUS Kepong Landed 6 Room 6 Bath
    • Bangsar Last Piece Land New Launch
    • Avara Seputeh (Mid Valley)
    • Project Announcement Registration. Malaysia New Property Launch
  • Existing & Past Project
    • 2020 Lowest Risk & Price in Klang Valley with Great ROI
    • Kiara East Suite Dex
    • 2019 SAFEST PROFITABLE HIGH CASHBACK INVESTMENT
    • Best Property Investment Projects in 2018
    • KL City Freehold Spacious Affordable 3 room Project
    • Jalan Kuching Freehold New Office & Shoplot
    • Jalan Ipoh New Freehold Shoplot & Offices
    • RM300k KL Sentral New Prelaunch
    • The Olive Condo, Sunsuria City
    • Prelaunch Landed House Bukit Rahman Putra
    • RM260k No Downpayment Puchong South Suites
    • PJ North RM400k High Cash Back Project
    • Denai Sutera @ Alam Sutera, Bukit Jalil
    • First Phase of Banting New Township
    • Neu Suites 3rdNVenue @ Embassy Row by Titijaya & CREC
    • COURT 28, Jalan Ipoh KL City New Property Launch Service Apartment. Malaysia New Property Launch
    • Semanja Kajang New FREEHOLD Kajang Double Storey Houses. Malaysia New Property Launch
    • M Suite @ Desa Park North
    • BIJI LIVING @ Sek 17 PJ City by Conlay. Malaysia New Property Launch
    • Amani Residence Bandar Puteri Puchong New Freehold Service Apartment. Malaysia New Property Launch
    • SFERA RESIDENCY @ Puchong South. Malaysia New Property Launch
    • KL North Last Release
    • PreLaunch Freehold Double Storey
  • LAND
  • News & Articles
    • Educational Articles
    • Ho Chin Soon Greater KL Map Sharing
  • Other Reference Link & Services
    • Land Sale Malaysia
    • Malaysia New Property Launch
    • Lets Buy Property Malaysia
    • Other Professional Services
  • Referral
  • Career
  • MPIG
    • About Us
    • Contact Us
  • Get Professional Advice
  • PJ八打灵2021全新地产项目分析手册